Oscars 2015


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Actor/Actress/Supporting for both: whitewhitewhitewhitewhite. Hell, you had to get to director to find a Mexican.

Good for Keaton, but I don't think Birdman is the kind of movie that wins Oscars. It's the kind that gets nominated to satisfy film fans. It did get nominated for an awful lot, though.

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By the by, has anyone here seen Birdman? If so, what say you?

I take what Des says about the whitewash, but I counter with a flag! :teatime:

That's right, perceived racism in an ultimately meaningless awards ceremony bothers me not if there's a ton of Brits in there! Even if I'm amused that one guy has essentially gurned his way to an Oscar nomination. Admittedly, I've not watched Theory of Everything and Eddie Redmayne was pretty good in The Black Death so for all I know, he does very well, but the whole marketing campaign seems to be based upon him wearing glasses and gurning.

Also, Rosamund Pike. Time for a nostalgic Google search...

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  • 1 month later...

If anyone wants to watch the awards with me, I'll be in chat tomorrow night (plus red carpet).

Predictions: Most of the races this year are going to be boring with no likely upsets. The only potential upset might come if Birdman went really far over. The most concrete will be:

Best Supporting Actor

  • Will/Should Win: J. K. Simmons, "Whiplash"
  • Might Win: Edward Norton, "Birdman"

Best Supporting Actress

  • Will/Should Win: Patricia Arquette, "Boyhood"
  • Might Win: Emma Stone, "Birdman"

Best Actress:

  • Will Win: Julianne Moore, "Still Alice"
  • Should Win: Rosamund Pike, "Gone Girl"
  • Could Win: HA! That's funny. Julianne has every award from this last season so far plus the stigma of having lost a metric shit ton of times before when nominated for an Oscar. If she somehow loses, I will not just do that review of 50 Shades but do a follow-up for each sequel.

As for more competitive races...

Best Original Screenplay:

  • Will Win: Birdman
  • Should Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel/Birdman
  • Could Win: Boyhood

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Will/Should Win: The Imitation Game
  • Could Win: Whiplash

Best Animated Feature:

  • Will Win: How to Train Your Dragon 2 (Namebrand recognition sadly)
  • Should/Could Win: The Tale of Princess Kaguya

Best Actor

  • Will/Should Win: Michael Keaton "Birdman" (Going with Keaton mainly since it's about an actor who wants to be known for more than a comic book role. How meta is that and how much will an organization of mostly actors eat that up?)
  • Could Win Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of Everything"

Best Director

  • Will/Should Win: Richard Linklater, "Boyhood"
  • Could Win: Alejandro G. Iñárritu, "Birdman"

Best Picture

  • Will Win: Birdman
  • Should Win: Boyhood/Birdman
  • Could Win: Boyhood
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